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In the fall 2009, the University of Pittsburgh Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study (MIDAS) team employed an agent-based computer simulation model (ABM) of the greater Washington, DC, metropolitan region to assist the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Public Preparedness and Response, Department of Health and Human Services, to address several key questions regarding vaccine allocation during...
The continuing morbidity and mortality associated with Staphylococcus aureus (S. aureus) infections, especially methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA) infections, have motivated calls to make S. aureus vaccine development a research priority. We developed a decision analytic computer simulation model to determine the potential economic impact of a S. aureus vaccine for neonates. Our results suggest...
As history has demonstrated, post-approval obstacles can impede a vaccine's use and potentially lead to its withdrawal. Addressing these potential obstacles when changes in a vaccine's technology can still be easily made may improve a vaccine's chances of success. Augmented vaccine target product profiles (TPPs) can help vaccine scientists better understand and anticipate these obstacles and galvanize...
To evaluate the potential economic value of a Staphylococcus aureus vaccine for pre-operative orthopedic surgery patients, we developed an economic computer simulation model. At MRSA colonization rates as low as 1%, a $50 vaccine was cost-effective [≤$50,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) saved] at vaccine efficacy ≥30%, and a $100 vaccine at vaccine efficacy ≥70%. High MRSA prevalence (≥25%)...
While studies have found influenza vaccination to be cost-effective in older adults (65 years or older), they have not looked at how the vaccine's economic value may vary with the timing of vaccine administration. We developed a set of computer simulation models to evaluate the economic impact of vaccinating older adults at different months. Our models delineated the costs and utility losses in delaying...
Since many unvaccinated individuals do not regularly contact the traditional health care system, we sought to determine the role that alternative vaccination locations (e.g., workplaces and retail clinics) could play in increasing influenza vaccination coverage. Between February 14, 2008 and March 10, 2008, a 25-question influenza vaccine questionnaire was administered to a nationally representative,...
Immunosenescence decreases influenza vaccine efficacy in older adults (age 65 and over). Strategies such as vaccine adjuvants are being developed to overcome immunosenescence. Our computer simulation model represented the decision to give an older adult either standard influenza vaccine or adjuvanted influenza vaccine and found the adjuvanted vaccine to be dominant in many scenarios, resulting in...
Statins possess anti-inflammatory and immunomodulatory properties beyond their cholesterol-lowering effects. To determine whether short-term atorvastatin treatment affects the acute phase and humoral immune responses to tetanus toxoid (TT) in normal healthy volunteers, we conducted a randomized, double blind, placebo-controlled trial. Twenty healthy volunteers were assigned a 10-day treatment with...
Priming of strong cellular immune responses to hepatitis C (HCV) is thought to be important for eradication of infection. Although productive infection of HCV occurs only reproducibly in humans and chimpanzees, definition of HCV-specific T cell epitopes in mice is necessary to screen efficiently HCV vaccine strategies for their ability to prime cellular immune responses. Out of seven strains of mice...
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