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This paper addresses the behavior in low SNR situations of the algorithm proposed by Andrieu and Doucet (IEEE T. Signal Proces., 47(10), 1999) for the joint Bayesian model selection and estimation of sinusoids in Gaussian white noise. It is shown that the value of a certain hyperparameter, claimed to be weakly influential in the original paper, becomes in fact quite important in this context. This...
This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including cut-off and cut-in behaviours. The wind turbine is modeled as a stochastic hybrid system with three operation modes. Numerical results, obtained using Monte-Carlo...
This paper presents some recent results concerning a class of continuous-time Markov processes called "stochastic hybrid systems". These processes describe the evolution of a multidimensional hybrid-state dynamical system subject to Gaussian white noise inputs. After a brief recall of the formalism, we state the generalized Fokker-Planck equation, which is a partial differential equation...
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