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Using non-agency securitization data consisting of mortgages originated between 1991 and 2007, we find that fraction of defaulted mortgages increases from 10.8% in the pre-crisis period (July 2007) to 19.6% in the post crisis period (July 2009). This paper then applies a split population hazard model, or widely known as a mixture cure model in biometrics literature, to jointly predict incidence (probability)...
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